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AC Fourth Quarter Loss


Kip Powick

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I was told the other day that ACE is still making money.... I understand almost nothing of the world of finance... Can someone explain to me how ACE is making money while AC is losing? Is it as simple as was suggested to me, that ACE, by virtue of ownership, is just siphoning the wealth? Somehow, I can't help but feel that's got to be wrong?

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I was told the other day that ACE is still making money.... I understand almost nothing of the world of finance... Can someone explain to me how ACE is making money while AC is losing? Is it as simple as was suggested to me, that ACE, by virtue of ownership, is just siphoning the wealth? Somehow, I can't help but feel that's got to be wrong?

mitch i'm with you

the boys can make the numbers dance if they wanted to

all i know is if air canada wanted to make money and show it could

it doesn't because it would feel obligated to pay better wages and benefits

cry poor and the employees cave,especially at contract time

they have great timing

Unless your on the BOD,no one knows for sure

Canada does not have a security and exchange commission like the States

Why do you think Conrad Black was convicted in the States,and not here

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Unless your on the BOD,no one knows for sure

Canada does not have a security and exchange commission like the States

Why do you think Conrad Black was convicted in the States,and not here

Just ask Roy Romanow.

As for Mitch, ACE probably is profitable. Its assets are cash, an interesting bearing note for the money ACE lent as part of the last recapitalization in June - the one the government also participated in, and a 27% interest in Air Canada.

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TD Waterhouse has AC as a Speculative Buy

Air Canada

(AC.A-T, AC.B-T) C$1.41

Q4/09 Results; Signs of Recovery to Exit 2009

Event

Air Canada reported Q4/09 results on February 10th. EBITDAR of $167

million compared to $108 million last year and was ahead of our $146 million

forecast and estimated consensus of $145 million.

Impact – POSITIVE

We are increasing our target to $3.00 and maintaining our SPECULATIVE

BUY rating. Our target is impacted by moving our valuation period forward

by one quarter while our financial forecasts remain substantially unchanged.

We believe the Q4/09 results support our view that the early stages of the

recovery in air travel are underway in Canada, that Air Canada has sufficient

liquidity to carry it through to a period of significantly stronger cash flow

generation and that initiatives at Air Canada aimed at improving its cost

structure and overall competitiveness are progressing.

We are encouraged that management is reporting signs of a moderate

recovery in demand, enough to justify adding capacity to international routes

in 2010. With only $135 million in capex planned for 2010, we estimate Air

Canada can generate FCF of close to $300 million with an additional $500

million expected in 2011. This cash is expected to be used for reducing debt

and deleveraging the balance sheet which, even in the absence of multiple

expansion, is expected to add significant value to the equity in the company.

Air Canada has significant torque to a recovery and with our view that shortterm

liquidity issues have been resolved, we continue to believe that the

potential upside to Air Canada shares warrants a SPECULATIVE BUY

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I was told the other day that ACE is still making money.... I understand almost nothing of the world of finance... Can someone explain to me how ACE is making money while AC is losing? Is it as simple as was suggested to me, that ACE, by virtue of ownership, is just siphoning the wealth? Somehow, I can't help but feel that's got to be wrong?

Dunno, maybe you start with verifying that ACE is indeed making money (tho it will probably irritate the CT's and have them blustering "they're cooking the books, they're cooking the books.")

ACE Financial ReportQ4/09

- Consolidated operating losses of $244 million and $5 million in 2009

and fourth quarter.

- Consolidated losses of $692 million and $656 million in 2009 and fourth

quarter (including non-cash loss on Air Canada investment of

$630 million).

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