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Malcolm, November 18, 2018 in Non Aviation Discussion Forum
Conservatives finally in clear lead!!
43 minutes ago, Jaydee said:
Conservatives finally in clear lead!!
Conservatives finally in clear lead!!
They are not quite in the lead according to the seat breakdown unless the Liberal support east of Manitoba caves.
More Good News for Justine...
Canada’s economy practically came to a halt in the final three months of 2018, in a much deeper-than-expected slowdown that brings the underlying strength of the expansion into doubt.
The country’s economy grew by just 0.1 per cent in the fourth quarter, for an annualized pace of 0.4 per cent, Statistics Canada said Friday from Ottawa. That’s the worst quarterly performance in two and a half years, down from annualized 2 per cent in the third quarter and well below economist expectations for a 1 per cent annualized increase.
While a slowdown was widely expected in the final months of the year due to falling oil prices, it’s a much bleaker picture than anyone anticipated with weakness extending well beyond the energy sector. Consumption spending grew at the slowest pace in almost four years, housing fell by the most in a decade, business investment dropped sharply for a second straight quarter, and domestic demand posted its largest decline since 2015.
The only thing that kept the nation’s economy from contracting was a build-up in inventories as companies stockpiled goods.
At the very least, the numbers suggest that heightened uncertainty — everything from the impact of higher interest rates to potential trade wars and oil-sector woes — has made a real impact on both consumer and business sentiment. The question now is what the weaker-than-expected data suggests about the economy’s ability to rebound back to more normal growth levels.
Most economists had been expecting the soft patch would come to an end by this spring and growth would accelerate closer to 2 per cent for the rest of the year. No one, however, expected the economy would need to come back from such a low point. The Bank of Canada’s latest forecast, from January, is for annualized growth of 1.3 per cent in the fourth quarter and 0.8 per cent in the first quarter, before the expansion accelerates back to above 2 per cent growth by next year.
Until recently, the economy had been doing relatively well even in the face of higher rates. It grew by a Group-of-Seven-best 3 per cent in 2017, and expanded at a healthy clip in the first half of last year — prompting the Bank of Canada to press ahead with higher borrowing costs.
But even that strength had been overstated, with Statistics Canada revising down its estimates for first half growth to 2 per cent from 2.3 per cent. For all of 2018, the economy grew by 1.8 per cent — below the Bank of Canada’s estimate for 2 per cent. Monthly data released Friday show the economy ended the year contracting, with December gross domestic product down 0.1 per cent.
The data suggest rising interest rates may be having a bigger impact on consumers than expected. Consumption slowed to an annualized 0.7 per cent pace in the four quarter, the weakest growth since the start of 2015 as households increased their savings.
Business investment also disappointed, with non-residential capital spending down an annualized 10.9 per cent — the third straight quarterly decline and the second consecutive drop of more than 10 per cent. Residential investment also contracted for a second straight quarter, down an annualized 14.7 per cent, the biggest drop since 2009.
The economy also wasn’t able to get a contribution from exporters who have helped lift growth over the past year.
Exports recorded an annualized 0.2 per cent drop in the fourth quarter. Imports also declined, down 1.1 per cent.
The biggest contributor to growth came from inventories — driven by machinery, food and wood producers.
According to a British politician, Canada had a secret plan to whisk ISIS suspect Jack Letts out of Syria until the Brits and Americans torpedoed the idea.
The suspected ISIS member known as ‘Jihadi Jack’ was days away from being welcomed into Canada when the U.S. and U.K. torpedoed the move, a British politician claims.
Labour MP Lloyd Russell-Moyle told Channel 4that Jack Letts — whose father is Canadian — was to be smuggled out of Syria and brought here.
The 23-year-old left his Oxford home to join the Islamic State in 2014. He eventually married an Iraqi woman and the couple had a child.
According to Channel 4, the Canadian government allegedly vowed to “do everything” to get the troubled young man out of harm’s way. The plan involved smuggling Letts into Turkey and then Canada.
But the British Foreign Office torpedoed the Canadian gambit.
My understanding is that hesitant agreement had been reached with them and the Canadians,” Russell-Moyle told Channel 4.
“The words that they used to me — and this was last year now — is that it is a matter of days or weeks in which Jack will be sent to Canada. And then it fell apart at the last minute due to the intervention of another party.”
The British politician blamed “either the British government or the Americans”.
Channel 4 reported that Justin Trudeau’s government wanted to bring Jack Letts to Canada because he was eligible for dual citizenship.
Late last year, diplomats in Ottawa reportedly wrote the ISIS suspect’s devastated parents to say they could not guarantee their son’s release.
John Letts has said that his son realizes he made a stupid mistake and now desperately wants out.
He told ITV last week from the Kurdish jail where he is being held: “I miss my mum. I feel British, I am British. If the UK accepted me I would go back to the UK, but I don’t think that’s going to happen.”
In recent days, the British government has signalled it has no intention of repatriating terrorists and their brides who traipsed off to join ISIS.
While Letts remains a British citizen, notorious ISIS bride Shamima Begum has been stripped of her citizenship.
Ooooohhh man .... this governing stuff is haaarrrdd!!,
Thanks for nothing JT.
New Trudeau BUDGET due out shortly....we all know what’s going to be in it...spend....spend....spend.....borrow....borrow....borrow...
Buying more votes.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is scheduled to visit the Charlottetown biotechnology company BioVectra Monday morning, and will announce an investment that will support 150 new jobs.
Will not hamper the Liberals desire to have more people voting for them in the North.
The federal and N.W.T. governments announced they will spend $5.1 million on two projects to help with development and mineral exploration in the territory.
If a vote were held today according to IPSOS...
The federal government has announced 5.3-million dollars to help B-C combat gang and gun violence with initiatives that include prevention and early intervention.
Organized Crime Reduction Minister Bill Blair made the announcement this morning in Victoria, joined by Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan and B.C.'s Public Safety Minister Mike Farnworth.
There were 30 more homicides in B-C in 2017 than the year earlier and Sajjan says more than half of the total 118 slayings that year involved firearms, while just over two-thirds were known or suspected to be gang related.
He says the problem is not just found in large cities anymore, adding guns and gangs are having a negative impact on safety in communities across B-C.
Does Justin Trudeau have a problem with women?
That’s one of what I see as three possible explanations for the bombshell announcement Monday from Jane Philpott, the ethical pushback from Jody Wilson-Raybould over SNC-Lavalin and the recent decision of the formidable Liberal MP Celina Caesar-Chavannes not to run in the next election.
Either the PM has a woman problem, or women are simply the bravest and most principled members of his caucus, or the way politics is practised specifically under Trudeau et al. and/ or generally in the modern Canada leaves some of the women who ran for him profoundly disillusioned and sad.
It’s hard to know, too, which is the worst of these sorry choices.
Philpott, just recently named as the Treasury Board president in the same shuffle that saw Wilson-Raybould moved from Justice to Veterans Affairs, is quitting cabinet precisely because of the SNC-Lavalin imbroglio, the incursion she saw upon the “independence and integrity of our justice system” and because she said she has “lost confidence in how the government has dealt with this matter and in how it has responded to the issues raised.”
But Philpott also mentioned “the constitutional convention of cabinet solidarity,” which means “that ministers are expected to defend all cabinet decisions … must always be prepared to defend other ministers publicly and must speak in support of the government and its policies.”
(In other words, cabinet ministers are expected to act like the lapdogs you see in question period, nodding in rapturous agreement with whatever the PM says, toeing the party line always.)
Given that convention, Philpott said, “it is untenable for me to continue to serve as a cabinet minister.”
Wilson-Raybould, of course, quit cabinet shortly after the shuffle to Veterans Affairs when the proverbial other shoe she had been expecting dropped.
She has not yet been able to explain what that was — the twin muzzles of cabinet confidence and solicitor-client privilege are still firmly on her for the time period after the shuffle — but bets are she learned that the government has found a way, not to mention a more agreeable attorney general (David Lametti), to give SNC-Lavalin the deferred prosecution agreement it desperately wants to avoid a potential criminal trial on fraud and bribery charges.
(Whether those charges, related to $48 million some company executives allegedly spent to win projects in Libya, will proceed to trial is now in the hands of a judge.)
Caesar-Chavannes, an Ontario business executive and rookie MP like Philpott, a family physician, and Wilson-Raybould, an elected Indigenous leader, told Trudeau on Feb. 12 that she won’t be running in the election this fall.
Though she explicitly said her decision was personal and not related to the SNC-Lavalin controversy, Caesar-Chavannes tweeted in support of Wilson-Raybould, calling her “fierce, smart and unapologetic.”
Her goodbye announcement this past weekend was affectionate and uncontroversial.
But just a couple of weeks before, as a speaker at the House of Commons Speaker’s annual Robbie Burns dinner, she showed her own ferocity.
This was after the cabinet shuffle that saw both Wilson-Raybould and Philpott moved.
As my colleague, John Ivison, wrote in a wonderful column about her speech that night — he said she was raucous and fun, called Burns “a penile philanthropist” and said “if Robbie Burns were alive today, he would be black and on Maury Povich” — Caesar-Chavannes mentioned Wilson-Raybould, who was also at the dinner.
“Speaking of Jody Wilson-Raybould, if Robbie Burns was a member of our government, she would have been asked to remove him from our Parliament, not just our caucus, based on his exploits.
“If she didn’t succeed, she would have been fired. If she succeeded in removing Robbie Burns, she would have been fired. You can’t have an Indian doing that to the White Man. (David) Lametti can, you can’t.
“The lads are better at that sort of thing,” she said.
Afterwards, in an interview, Caesar-Chavannes said while she was weary of being at the centre of controversies over race and gender, she couldn’t give a speech without addressing the question of privilege.
In other words, she had to be true to herself.
“We need to shake the dust off old political institutions and traditions if we are going to allow new people in. It beats you up to be taking up these issues and being forced to defend yourself. But if you want to add new people, you can’t continue to maintain the status quo.
“The status quo that sometimes disenfranchises people.”
They are three remarkable, accomplished women, one black, one Indigenous, one a white doctor from Markham, Ont. They were part of this self-appointed feminist prime minister’s obsession with gender balance. They were among the new people invited in, but expected to play by all the old rules.
For a while, they appeared to thrive in the super-heated, high-pressure world of federal politics, until they didn’t. And from all I can see, it wasn’t them who were lacking.
Its like Christmas in March ! The presents just keep a comin !!
The government of Canada has announced $3.5 million in funding to help two Nihtat Corporation projects cut diesel costs and reduce fossil fuel use in the North.
Of that, $3.3 million will allow three businesses in Inuvik and Iqaluit, and 32 residential units in Inuvik to develop enough combined solar power and battery storage to run almost exclusively on solar energy during spring and summer months. The businesses include Northmart and the Mackenzie Hotel.
Inuvik gets arts and crafts manufacturing centre and solar panels
The 1.25 megawatts of solar power is expected to cut diesel consumption in the communities by 380,000 litres per year, the government stated in a press release Tuesday.
The government said it expects the project will be completed before the end of summer.
A further $220,000 will help pay for Nihtat Corporation to study the possibility of a wood pellet plant in the Beaufort Delta region.
"The Nihtat Gwich'in are excited to partner with the government of Canada on this cutting-edge opportunity that will reduce the cost of living and operations for the people and businesses of Inuvik, while at the same time reducing the impact of greenhouse gas emissions from our community," stated Jozef Carnogursky, Nihtat Corporation president in the press release.
"We see this a strong example of how Indigenous peoples and the Government of Canada can work together in the interest of sustainable development in the North."
Both projects are funded under Natural Resources Canada's Clean Energy for Rural And Remote Communities Program. The program's goal is to reduce reliance on fossil fuels in Canada's remote and rural communities, with a focus on Indigenous communities.
The Nihtat Corporation is an arm of the Nihtat Gwich'in.
A prime example of liberal spin......carbon tax rebate.....for a tax you have had to pay for every day necessities wrt a program that does nothing to change the climate:
The new fuzzy phrase.....climate action incentive payment.....no mention of the tax and you’re getting SOME of you OWN money back....it’s a payment courtesy of the government to make the individual feel like you are helping the climate.
I’ve got a pain in my ass.....will he apologize for that?
I think we need to total up the $$$$ that the Liberals are spreading around prior to the election from an empty piggy bank.
Here are a few more million:
March 7, 2019 3:40 pm
Inter Pipeline's Heartland Petrochemical Complex is shown under construction in Fort Saskatchewan, Alta., on Thursday, January 10, 2019. Canada's slow-growing petrochemical industry is headed for its biggest surge of expansion spending in five years in 2019, thanks in large part to incentive programs by federal and provincial governments.
A $3.5-billion project to turn Alberta propane into plastic pellets for the manufacture of consumer products is to receive $49 million from the federal government.
Ottawa says the money provided to Calgary-based Inter Pipeline Ltd. through the $1.6-billion Strategic Innovation Fund will help secure jobs and support the environmentally cleaner production of plastic products.
READ MORE: Inter Pipeline green-lights $3.5B petrochemical project to produce plastic
The facility is already under construction in Strathcona County, just northeast of Edmonton, with completion scheduled for late 2021.
Watch below: (From January 2019) A massive tower constructed in Edmonton will hit the highway Sunday night, heading to its destination, a new industrial complex near Fort Saskatchewan. Julia Wong reports.
The company is to increase jobs for post-secondary students and women in trades, while continuing to fund research and spending $10 million to find ways to reduce plastic waste.
The Inter Pipeline project was given $200 million in provincial royalty credits in 2016, while Calgary-based Pembina Pipeline Ltd. was handed $300 million in credits for a similar proposal.
READ MORE: Pembina going ahead with polypropylene plant joint venture with Kuwaiti firm
Last month, Pembina announced it had decided with its partner, Kuwait’s Petrochemical Industries Co., to go ahead with a $4.5-billion polypropylene project also to be located northeast of Edmonton.
Stephen Harper's Long Game
“ Fast forward to today and it looks like the 2015 Conservative campaign was meant to be a set-up for the party's future, not an effort to get Stephen Harper re-elected. “
When he gave his concession speech after losing to Justin Trudeau in 2015, Stephen Harper seemed relaxed and unfazed. At the time, I assumed he was relieved to be done with politics, but as Justin Trudeau proves to be the worst prime minister in our history, I'm seeing Harper's long term vision materialize. Stephen Harper knew Trudeau would fail so badly that Canadians would naturally gravitate back to the Conservative Party. With a fresh new leader and a reputation for being a safe and balanced alternative, the Conservative Party could supplant the Liberal Party as Canada's “natural governing party”. That was always Harper's long term goal.
Despite his own personal beliefs, Stephen Harper ran a safe, moderate and managerial Conservative government. It was imperfect, but it was effective in showing Canadians that the new party wasn't the radical, far right nightmare Liberals wanted them to think it was. Harper weathered the storm and steered Canada safely out of the 2008/2009 recession. He safely cut spending in some places and failed to live up to the Liberal Party's far right, neo-con label. After Harper, Canadians still had public healthcare, human rights, legal abortions, powerful unions and good international relations. Stephen Harper's Conservative government had proven itself as a permanent force in Canadian politics. It was here to stay, long after Harper.
Despite running a safe and moderate government, the media whipped portions of Canada's electorate into a deranged frenzy. Canadians had had enough of Stephen Harper and he knew it. Had he stuck around any longer, it could have damaged the Conservative brand. It was time for him to go, but it needed to happen naturally.
Rewind to the Conservative campaign of 2015. It was disastrously inept and weak—almost purposely so. I wasn't alone in thinking that some party strategists were going to get fired. Harper was passive when confronted with inaccurate and deceptive Liberal and NDP attacks, campaign rallies consisted of cheap game show antics and sound effects, and CPC HQ seemed reluctant to pull back on its failed campaign slogans. In terms of promises and policies, the Conservative Party had none. There were no appetizing tax cuts, no large scale reforms and no new ideas. The entire CPC campaign was about how terrible Justin Trudeau would be.
Fast forward to today and it looks like the 2015 Conservative campaign was meant to be a set-up for the party's future, not an effort to get Stephen Harper re-elected. Harper was supposed to lose so Canadians could get a taste of Justin Trudeau and come crawling back to the Conservative Party, begging for mercy. It sounds crazy to regard Stephen Harper with such a high level of prophetic genius, but not everyone could have predicted how bad a government led by Justin Trudeau would be. It looks a lot worse than most of us had expected.
Now think of how relaxed and unfazed Harper was during his concession speech. It was strangely reminiscent of his 2011 majority win. He wore the same subtle smirk and spoke confidently about the party's future and about Canada's future. In his mind, the Conservative Party was about to refresh itself with a new leader and re-emerge after a disastrous Liberal government. Harper was confident in Justin Trudeau's utter ineptitude. Trudeau's failure and the Liberal Party's return to corruption was all a part of Harper's strategy.
Even so, Stephen Harper had the cards stacked against him in 2015 and losing the election started looking inevitable by August. He might have saw it coming and knew exactly how it would look.
Harper was eerily right about everything. He predicted that Trudeau's deficits would be bigger and that the party would go back to its old roots of cronyism and corruption. He was right about higher taxes, embarrassments on the world stage and a steady decline in overall prosperity. If you look back at Stephen Harper's rallies and campaign speeches, you'll see all of his predictions and his character assessments of Justin Trudeau. None of them were good, but all of them were freakishly accurate. The Trudeau government was exactly the disaster Stephen Harper needed it to be.
Four years later, Liberals are heading into an election with disastrous poll numbers and a Conservative Party creeping into a statistical tie—or a lead in some polls. Unlike Trudeau, Harper slowly gained the confidence of Canadians after winning his first minority in 2006. Unlike Harper, Trudeau is hemorrhaging public confidence like the Hindenburg. The prospects of another Liberal majority are slipping through Trudeau's fingers like melted butter, while Andrew Scheer takes effective body shots and Canadians pine for the days when they didn't have to hang their heads in shame. Things are looking unusually bad for this young, incumbent government. More usually than not, first-term incumbent governments are well positioned for re-election—but not these guys. This government, like the Alberta NDP, looks more like a short-lived mistake, or a tiny blip on the timeline of history.
With that said, it's a slow process. Canadians are traditionally liberal by nature. Getting them to convert won't happen overnight and Harper knew that better than anyone else. Andrew Scheer faces a lot of attacks from conservatives for being too weak or too liberal, but he's just following Harper's protocol. A leader like Maxime Bernier would have set the clock back on Harper's agenda, with his calls to abolish the CRTC, reform the CBC and various other things Liberals would call "far right". Canadians aren't ready for drastic, right-wing reforms. Taking on most of Maxime Bernier's policy positions would have put the Conservative Party on the very fringes that Harper tried to avoid.
Andrew Scheer is a true conservative by nature, just like Harper, but he knows conservative ideas can't win in Canada. Not yet, anyway. The Conservative Party's long term strategy is about taking baby-steps and encouraging small C conservatives to be patient. This isn't about winning the now, it's about winning the future. This is a transformation, not a revolution. Canadians don't do revolutions, which is why we never joined the American colonists when they decided to stick it to the British Empire.
Be patient conservatives. We'll get there if we stick together. In the meantime, pick up a pen, grab a camera or use a paint brush to tell your conservative stories. Take the monopoly on art away from the liberals and socialists.
There is a meme that has been doing the rounds on social media for several years now that shows various pictures of Stephen Harper with the caption “Miss me yet?”
It’s only natural that Conservative members and diehard fans of the former Prime Minister would promote such an image even mere hours into the era of Justin Trudeau.
But now it appears that, having had a few years to think about it, a whole lot more Canadians might also agree with the sentiment. They seem to miss Stephen Harper, or at least place great value on his legacy.
A recent under-reported survey by Montreal-based pollster Leger asked Canadians who they considered the top Prime Minister of the last 50 years.
Stephen Harper came out on top, with a plurality of the votes at 24%. Trudeau came second. But not the current one.
Pierre Elliott Trudeau won the support of 22% of respondents. Jean Chretien and Brian Mulroney followed, with the current office holder scoring a poor fifth-place showing.
Only 9% of Canadians think Justin Trudeau is the best PM of the past half century.
It’s interesting to note that the only PMs he beats are the one hit wonders who only served a single, short term: Paul Martin, Joe Clark, John Turner, and Kim Campbell.
Canada is facing a moral and ethical crisis of leadership.
Canadians do not expect their prime ministers to be perfect, but they do expect them to be honest.
They expect them to be fair. To be accountable for their actions. To know right from wrong. To recognize corrupt special interests and to summon both the courage to stand up to them and the strength to shut them down.
What Canadians have seen from Justin Trudeau over the last month — since the SNC-Lavalin corruption scandal broke — is a prime minister who possesses none of these abilities.
He stands accused of the kind of corruption more common in Third World dictatorships than in countries like Canada.
He has used the power of his office to subvert the law and secure special treatment for a well-connected company.
Here are the facts:
First, Justin Trudeau led a governmentwide campaign to politically interfere in SNCLavalin’s criminal prosecution on corruption charges.
Second, he did so by pressuring, harassing and threatening former attorney general Jody Wilson-Raybould into using her power to stop the prosecution.
And third, when Ms. Wilson-Raybould refused to back down, he fired her.
In attempting to contain the damage, the real Justin Trudeau has emerged. Not the model of openness, transparency, feminism and reconciliation he pitched to Canadians during the 2015 election.
The real Justin Trudeau avoids accountability, shifts blame, suppresses dissent, pushes falsehoods and rationalizes corruption.
Trudeau has refused to take the stand in front of the Justice committee to answer questions under oath and blocked attempts to call on other key witnesses from his office.
He continues to censor Ms. Wilson-Raybould, refusing to waive the full solicitor-client privilege that prevents her from telling her side of the story.
He continues to push a debunked argument that thousands of Canadian jobs would disappear if SNC’s prosecution is allowed to continue.
And he has described the sustained harassment of Ms. Wilson-Raybould as his government “doing our job.”
I appreciate that the legalities of the SNC-Lavalin corruption scandal are complex. But the moral implications are obvious.
I believe that Canada must be a country where the powerful and politically connected are held to the same laws as everybody else.
I believe Canadians deserve a government that refuses to be manipulated by high-priced lobbyists and corporate executives.
And I believe Canada needs a prime minister who rejects the idea that political interference in the justice system is simply routine government business.
As the scandal has rocked the government, leading to the resignations of two high-profile cabinet ministers, Trudeau hides behind one excuse after another.
He has also shut down attempts for a public inquiry, and used his majority on the Justice committee to prevent key witnesses from testifying.
And he continues to prevent Ms. Wilson-Raybould from fully disclosing details about key conversations after she was fired as attorney general.
On Wednesday, the Justice committee will decide whether to invite Ms. Wilson-Raybould to testify for a second time.
We know Ms. Wilson-Raybould was threatened. Who made those threats and what were they? We know she was fired as attorney general. What reason was she given?
We know she then resigned from cabinet. Why? She testified that there were important details Trudeau has not allowed her to divulge. What are they?
Only she can answer these questions. Right now, she can’t.
If Justin Trudeau truly has nothing to hide, he must allow Ms. Wilson-Raybould to speak again. He must waive the privilege and cabinet confidence that is keeping the full truth from coming out.
We have launched a website — www.LetHerSpeak.ca — where Canadians can tell Justin Trudeau to lift his gag order.
In his crisis of leadership, it’s the least he can do.
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