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On the Way to the 2019 Federal Election

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BREAKING....Must Watch Video.....Trudeau launches Election strategy on Oprah !!



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'Brace yourself Canada': Nanos on where party support stands across country


Sonja Puzic, Producer


Published Wednesday, September 4, 2019 5:55PM EDT

Four years after a red tide swept Atlantic Canada in the last federal election, the political landscape in the eastern provinces is “much more competitive,” with the Liberals and Conservatives in virtual dead heat, according to the latest Nanos tracking numbers.

And that’s not the only shift among voters in different parts of the country. In Quebec, support for the New Democrats currently sits at around 12 per cent. That’s a big drop since early September 2015, when the party -- led by Tom Mulcair -- tracked at nearly 48 per cent in the province.

“It’s a massive 36 point drop between Tom Mulcair and (current leader) Jagmeet Singh,” pollster Nik Nanos said on CTV’s Trend Line podcast, released Wednesday.

“It speaks to the trouble that the New Democrats are in, in the province of Quebec,” Nanos said.“What Jagmeet Singh needs is for Justin Trudeau to falter in Quebec and for the Bloc Quebecois to falter because for a lot of those rural ridings, the NDP picked them up from the Bloc Quebecois and they voted NDP and now the Liberals are hoping to pick up those ridings.”

Nanos said the Liberals are currently enjoying “a very comfortable lead” in Quebec, with about 42 per cent support. The Bloc Quebecois, meanwhile, got “a little bit of a breath of life,” and is tracking at nearly 18 per cent, a few points higher than the Conservative Party.

It’s a much different story for the Liberals and the Conservatives in the Atlantic provinces. The latest Nanos tracking shows the two parties are currently neck-and-neck, with Liberals at nearly 37 per cent and the Conservatives at 38.5 per cent. The Greens and the NDP trail behind in the region with around 13 and 8 per cent support, respectively.

New Brunswick will be among the provinces to watch in Eastern Canada, Nanos said.

“In some of the modelling that we've done it suggests that the Conservatives are poised to pick up a number of seats in New Brunswick, most of them in southern New Brunswick,” he said. “In Nova Scotia the Liberals are still probably going to do well but it's a much tighter race in Nova Scotia.”

The New Democrats have run into trouble in New Brunswick, where 14 provincial party members and one federal campaign executive withdrew their support for the federal NDP this week. They said they will now be supporting the Green Party and its leader Elizabeth May in this fall’s election.

Over in Ontario, the federal Liberals still have “the upper hand,” with a six- or seven-per-cent advantage over the Conservatives, according to the latest Nanos tracking numbers.

Nanos said the Conservatives are still doing “very well” in small-town Ontario. But in order for them to get a winning breakthrough, they have to do better in what’s known as the 905 -- cities and towns in the Greater Toronto Area with that area code.

Meanwhile, the Conservatives are “enjoying a massive lead” in the Prairie provinces right now.

“Anywhere from about … 25 to 30 percentage points ahead of the Liberals and the New Democrats,” Nanos said. “Alberta is quite possible will be a Conservative sweep, the Conservatives will also do well in Saskatchewan although in some of the Nanos modelling that we have, Ralph Goodale is the little red dot.”

So far, the Liberal MP and cabinet minister could hold onto his seat in a sea of blue, Nanos said.

The possible federal election outcome in British Columbia, on the other hand, is more of a mystery.

I call the B.C. trend line the spaghetti trend line and all the parties are intermingled and bounce around all over the place,” Nanos said.

While the Liberals currently have an advantage in B.C., tracking at 36 per cent compared to the Conservatives’ 26 per cent, other parties are still competitive in the province, Nanos noted. That includes the Greens, who have been gaining support and are currently tracking at just over 15 per cent.

“The thing to watch out for in B.C. could be vote splits. We could see a situation where the Greens pick up more seats, potentially on Vancouver Island,” Nanos said. “And then when we get off island think of potential votes split. So there's so many progressive choices for voters in British Columbia.”

Former justice minister Jody Wilson-Raybould is also looking to hang onto her seat in Vancouver-Granville, but as an Independent, after she was removed from the Liberal caucus amid the SNC-Lavalin scandal.

Given all the possibilities in B.C., the province may “hold Canada hostage in a positive way in terms of the potential election results,” Nanos said.

Overall, Nanos said it’s shaping up to be “a very interesting election” across Canada. 

“Two words: buckle up,” he said. “There are a number of narratives, who will win, who will come third and there's still a lot up for grabs. So brace yourself Canada. It will be both perhaps exhilarating and repulsive for some of you.


The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation. The data is based on a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone interviews using live agents of 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of 1,000 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added.

A random telephone survey of 1,000 Canadians is accurate ±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.

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The worst election outcome? A far-left social democratic coalition.


Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left, attends the annual pride parade with NDP leader Jagmeet Singh and Green Party leader Elizabeth May in Montreal, Sunday, August 18, 2019. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Graham Hughes)

For centre-right Canadians and Conservative partisans, a Liberal minority government would be the worst of all worlds.

It should also deeply concern middle-of-the-road voters and disaffected blue Liberals.

If the Conservatives win the most seats, but less than a majority, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh declared he will not prop them up. Therefore, Canadians may be confronting a stark choice between a moderate majority Conservative government and a far-left social democratic coalition. That ideological divide would be the widest at the federal level in the past 35 years.

If the NDP does not win enough seats to bring minority Liberals up to a majority, Trudeau would need Green Party support to survive. However, Elizabeth May just announced she will not support any minority government, based on current climate plans. She would be prepared to see Parliament dissolved unless the government agreed to hold global warming to below 1.5 degrees Celsius.

According to a recent Mainstreet Research poll, 56% of Canadians believe the election will result in a minority government. Since one or both of the two smaller parties may share power in a coalition government, it’s prudent to examine what they may demand as the price for their support.

Trudeau leans farther left than any Prime Minister since his father. So he might not need a huge push to double down on his current tax and spending spree, costly and ineffective climate initiatives and treating Canada’s energy industry as road kill.

Singh would drastically expand health care to include pharmacare and mental, dental, eye and hearing coverage. He supports free post-secondary education. He promises carbon-free electricity by 2030 and federal incentives for zero-emissions automobiles and opposes the Trans Mountain pipeline. He proposes a basic income pilot project and construction of more low-cost and co-operative housing.

And the list goes on, yet Singh refuses to disclose the cost of his lavish programs. Either he does not know or he is afraid to say how prohibitive the cost would be.

To help defray costs, Singh would hike corporate taxes and introduce a wealth tax starting at $20 million, at least at first. While gratifying to socialists, taxing job-creating businesses and soaking the rich invariably brings in less tax revenue than expected and has a negative impact on job creation and economic growth.

For its part, the Green Party would “virtually eliminate fossil fuel use in Canada by mid-century,” while saying no to nuclear power, which is unachievable without causing economic devastation. It would also end thermal coal exports and block the Trans Mountain expansion and every other oil pipeline. This would sound the death knell for Canada’s energy industry and so alienate the West that Alberta’s separation would become a real threat.

The Greens would abolish tuition fees for post-secondary education and skills training, create a national Guaranteed Livable Income, provide daily mail service to everyone’s front door and replace the current voting system with proportional representation, virtually guaranteeing dysfunctional minority governments in perpetuity.

If either coalition partner had its way, Canadians would be subjected to massive tax increases, ballooning deficits, economic decline and dangerous regional tension. While Trudeau would not have to succumb to all their exorbitant demands, he would inevitably adopt several of them, some which he may secretly support.

Given the endless track record of broken Liberal promises, what Justin Trudeau would do if he won a majority remains shrouded in mystery, other than an inevitable increase in the carbon tax.

In a minority situation his new incarnation would be barely recognizable. Since Canadians shun political extremes, they should be very leery of how far our chameleon leader would go to hang onto power.

Joe Oliver is the former minister of finance.



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The media is fuelling Finance Minister Morneau’s state of denial

Morneau likes to talk about his government’s terrific economic record and how it’s made things easier for business, but the data just don’t back him up

bill-morneau-1.png?w=604Federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau.Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press

By Niels Veldhuis and Jason Clemens

When economic information is released on a Friday before a long weekend, you can assume there’s a strategic reason, which usually results in the sound of crickets from the media. But that sure wasn’t the case last Friday when Statistics Canada released its second quarter (April to June) economic growth numbers.

According to Statistics Canada, “Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.9 per cent in the second quarter” and “Expressed at an annualized rate, real GDP advanced 3.7 per cent in the second quarter.”

The media jumped on the latter statistic with sensational headlines including: “Canada Q2 GDP stronger than expected, jumping 3.7%” (Financial Post), “Canada’s GDP rose 3.7 per cent in the second quarter” (Yahoo News Canada), “Canadian economy expands 3.7%” (Global News) and “Exports drive Canada’s best quarterly economic growth since 2017” (Globe and Mail).

Not to be outdone, federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau shared these headlines on social media, noting that, “Today’s economic statistics confirm Canada’s strong record of growth under our Government. By making it easier for businesses to invest & putting more money in the pockets of hard-working families, we’re moving Canada forward.”

But with all due respect, Minister Morneau, that’s not what StatsCan’s data confirm.

First, as noted above, the economy grew at 0.9 per cent in the second quarter, not 3.7 per cent. The media used StatsCan’s “annualized growth” number — the projected growth rate for the entire year that would result if the economy keeps growing at the same rate it did last quarter.

But it hasn’t and it won’t.

Since the Liberals were elected in late 2015, quarterly growth has only been above 0.9 per cent in four of 14 quarters and averaged just 0.5 per cent. As of late, it’s been particularly dismal with the economy growing at just 0.1 per cent in the third and first quarters of 2018 and 2019.

What’s more, the Bank of Canada has consistently downgraded economic growth projections for 2019 — it now forecasts 1.3 per cent growth in 2019. If that happens, the average annual rate of economic growth since the Liberals formed government will be just 1.8 per cent.

That’s barely above population growth.

Indeed, on a per-person basis, economic output today is $55,742, which is only 2.5 per cent (or $1,343 higher) than four years ago. It’s astonishing Morneau thinks these numbers “confirm Canada’s strong record of growth under our Government.”

Canada’s finance minister was fooled by the headlines


What’s worse, however, is Morneau’s state of denial on business investment, claiming that his government has been made it “easier for businesses to invest.”

Friday’s StatsCan data release noted that “GDP growth was moderated by a 1.6 per cent decline in business investment.” When StatsCan striped out investment in residential structures, business investment was actually down 3.5 per cent. And this is just the most recent part of a longer-term trend — business investment has decreased in four of the past five quarters and is down eight per cent over the past four years.

Business investment remains the lifeblood of our economy and is absolutely critical to middle-class prosperity. Investment means new equipment, innovation, new products and ultimately employment for Canadians. The decline in business investment is one of the key reasons economic growth is expected to grow at a sluggish average rate of 1.7 per cent over the next three years — and that does not account for a possible recession.

Morneau likes to talk about his government’s terrific economic record and how it’s made things easier for business, but the data just don’t back him up.

Rather than help, the Trudeau government has implemented policies that discourage investment, entrepreneurship and economic growth. It’s raised personal income taxes for skilled educated workers, entrepreneurs and business owners, implemented a carbon tax, is neck-deep in deficits with mounting debt (which implies the possibility of even higher taxes in the future) and added to the regulatory burden for business.

Last Friday’s StatsCan data drop — right before the summer’s last long weekend — reconfirms that the economy is in trouble. Unfortunately, Canada’s finance minister was fooled by the headlines and continues to ignore many of the most pressing economic issues facing the country.

Niels Veldhuis and Jason Clemens are economists at the Fraser Institute.


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No wonder trudeau doesn’t want to appear in the debates:


So now, as Mcleans/Citytv and Munk propose their own debates, the Liberals are saying no. They are also rejecting an independent debate in French proposed by Quebec’s biggest broadcaster, TVA.

According to Joel-Denis Bellavance, the Ottawa Bureau Chief for LaPresse, the Liberals don’t see an advantage to their guy appearing.

“There is not much benefit for us to participate in all these debates,” a Liberal strategist told Bellavance.

Especially after Trudeau got skewered by an American comedian in an interview where he thought he would be hip and cool.


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Don’t be like the media and politicians—actually read StatsCan data on latest job numbers

— September 6, 2019 
Don’t be like the media and politicians—actually read StatsCan data on latest job numbers

The media sure likes today’s employment numbers from Statistics Canada. Here are just two examples of this morning’s headlines.

“Canada sees jobs surge in August with 81K new positions” (Global News) and “Canada's economy blows past expectations with gain of 81,100 jobs” (Financial Post).

Federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau was quick to share these findings on social media, proclaiming “Great news as Canada blows past expectations, creating more than 81,000 new jobs last month!”

But dig a little deeper and you’ll find a few interesting facts in StatsCan’s employment numbers:

  • 96 per cent of the jobs were in two provinces—Ontario and Quebec
  • 71 per cent were part-time jobs—that is, of the 81,000 new jobs 57,200 were part-time
  • Full-time employment actually decreased by 7,500 jobs for those over 25 years old—this means all full-time growth went to those under 25
  • Oh, and women over 25 years old working full-time were the hardest hit, with employment decreasing by 31,500 jobs

Hardly good news, Minister Morneau.

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32 minutes ago, Jaydee said:


Too late, we already have. 

Before long you will be seeing a similar picture of Jack. The same people who say "that will never happen" are the ones who said "that could never happen". I bet they also said that prisoners would never get compensation for being put in solitary confinement too. Not only do we forget, narratives get squarely in the way of us learning anything worthwhile from previous failure.

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"I truly believe that Canada should be a place where no goal is out of reach, because that is the kind of country Canada has been for me." - Andrew Scheer


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Why Trudeau should campaign against Trudeau

Here are 10 reasons why Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in the last federal election would have been appalled by Trudeau’s record in this election.

1 – In the last election, Trudeau promised ethical government.

Since then, Trudeau has been found guilty of repeated violations of federal conflict of interest legislation by two ethics commissioners; the first over his family’s vacations on the private Bahamas island of the Aga Khan, the second in the Lavscam scandal.

2 – In the last election, Trudeau promised open and transparent government.

Since then, Trudeau has used his parliamentary majority to shut down two Commons committees investigating Lavscam and, according to the ethics commissioner, prevented him from doing a complete investigation into the scandal by denying him access to relevant documents and witnesses.

3 – In the last election, Trudeau committed to balancing the federal budget in 2019, following three years of “modest” deficits.

In this election, the record shows Trudeau blew past every promise he made in 2015 on the size of the annual federal deficit. This year, when he promised Canada would have a $1 billion surplus, his deficit is projected at $19.8 billion.

4 – In the last election Trudeau said he would lower Canada’s debt-to-GDP ratio, a key indicator of overall economy health, to 27% in 2019. His 2019 budget says it’s 30.7%.

5 – In the last election, Trudeau said he would forge a new relationship with Canada’s Indigenous people.

In this election he’s been repeatedly confronted by Indigenous protesters who accuse him of breaking many of the commitments he made to them in 2015, including providing safe drinking water for the Grassy Narrows reserve, where many residents suffer from decades of mercury poisoning.

6 – In the last election, Trudeau said it would be the last using the first-past-the-post voting system.

In this election, the winner will be decided by the first-past-the-post voting system.

7 – In the last election, Trudeau said Canada would become a global leader in the fight against human-induced climate change.

In this election, no credible, independent agency that has examined Trudeau’s climate change plan believes he’s on target to meet the greenhouse gas reduction targets he agreed to in signing the 2015 Paris climate accord, despite repeated assurances by Trudeau and Environment Minister Catherine McKenna that they’ll meet those targets.

8 – In the last election, Trudeau described himself as a feminist.

In this election, ask Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott, both thrown out of the Liberal party for defending prosecutorial independence and the rule of law in the Lavscam scandal, what they think of Trudeau’s “feminism.” Canadians have the opportunity to do so, because both of these star Liberal candidates in 2015, are running as independents in 2019.

9 – In the last election, Trudeau said Conservative voters were not the enemies of Liberals, but their neighbours.

In this election, he’s basically suggested anyone who supports Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is backing a white-supremacist sympathizing, immigrant-bashing, homophobe, who will ban same-sex marriages and abortions if he wins.

10 – In the last election, Trudeau said he would defend the middle class.

In this election, an Ipsos-Global News poll released last week found that since Trudeau’ victory in 2015, more Canadians today think our society is broken, that our economy is rigged to benefit the rich and powerful and that traditional political parties and their leaders don’t care about them, than when Trudeau took office.


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Canada's bull market is not in jobs or the economy, but cheerleaders

I couldn’t stop laughing over the weekend when I read the press headlines and Bay Street economists marvelling about those surreal job numbers in Canada for August. Think of what a gain of 80,000-plus jobs means if you believe it — it’s akin to an 800,000 surge in U.S. employment.

The Statistics Canada data were so not-to-be-believed. Accounting for all those Quebec jobs and part-time positions in Ontario, there was no employment growth in other areas of the country. Yet the Canadian dollar has rallied hard on this report and on the overconfidence the Bank of Canada is now demonstrating.

Overconfidence about what, exactly?

The 0.7 per cent decline in real final domestic demand in the second quarter? That’s the third decline in the past four quarters. By the way, real final sales in Canada would have contracted by more than a two-per-cent annual rate in Q2 absent the dead-cat bounce in the depressed energy sector, all that activity at the local bar during the Raptors amazing road to victory and, well, how can we forget this (maybe by taking in too much of it), the 74-per-cent annualized surge in the cannabis sector. No wonder productivity growth in Canada has slowed to a crawl … though pizza parlours and Pink Floyd albums have emerged into a full-blown bull market.

There is so much backslapping happening on Bay Street and, dare I say, Wellington Street that you would never know business machinery and equipment spending in Canada tanked at a 32-per-cent annual rate in Q2 (contracting in three of the past four quarters), which is a decline we last saw in the 2001 and 2008 recessions.

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Non-residential construction dropped at a 1.8-per-cent annual rate in Q2, and has contracted in each of the past six quarters. Consumer spending volumes on cyclically sensitive durable goods fell at a 1.3-per-cent annual rate and has slipped in five of the past six quarters.

Where exactly is this pro-growth hype coming from? One source is Finance Minister Bill Morneau, who should restrain himself from acting like an impulsive Donald Trump on his twitter account. Best to put the cork back in the champagne bottle for the time being.

Industrial production also shrunk 0.7 per cent month over month in June, which matches the decline in durable goods manufacturing, not to mention that total manufacturing activity has slumped at a 2.9-per-cent annual rate over the three months to June. That’s one heck of a swing from 3.3-per-cent rate at the turn of the year.

Save for the most obtuse, who would dare to rejoice over data points such as these?

Oh, did I fail to mention that Canadian real GDP has expanded 1.5 per cent in the year to June? Strip out the public sector, and business-sector activity is rising at the grand pace of 1.3 per cent. But guess what? Population growth, via an aggressive immigration policy, is running at a 1.5-per-cent annual rate. Depending on how you measure it, real per capita GDP is running flat to fractionally negative. What an economy.

Statistics Canada’s employment report seemed constructive, but it mostly spoke to the noise of the Labour Force Survey data series. Looking at the situation on a three-month basis, employment in the retail/wholesale trade industry fell at a 2.9-per-cent annual rate, a testament to the shape of the Canadian consumer, which is none too good.

The spillover from the global economic slowdown, and contraction in cross-border trade flows, are creating mega strains in domestic businesses reliant on the world economy, such as transportation/warehousing, where employment declined at a 3.2-per-cent annualized pace over the three months to August.

With the manufacturing sector in a recession of its own, jobs in the goods-producing sector has retreated at a 2.9-per-cent pace. I didn’t hear many economists, strategists or pundits talk too much about the 7.2-per-cent collapse in hours worked by Canada’s factory sector over the past three months, either.

The main story here is that while the Canadian job market looked bright and shiny in Friday’s report, the engine is actually sputtering and it won’t be long before the Bank of Canada is compelled to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve and the other 31 central banks that have cut rates so far this year.

Expect the loonie’s wings to get clipped once investors take a more in-depth look at an economy that is losing cyclical momentum at a time when there already is no growth at all in real per capita terms.

David Rosenberg is chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. and author of the daily economic report, Breakfast with Dave.

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Here is an article that proves that we will have to be extra vigilant in verifying the truth of the media we consume in the upcoming federal election.

Fake social media bots in Alberta likely to interfere in federal election, experts warn

EDMONTON — A federal report confirming the use of false social media posts to try to manipulate last spring’s Alberta election points to dangers for the upcoming federal vote, political scientists say.

“Absolutely!” said Duane Bratt of Calgary’s Mount Royal University.

“I think there are greater opportunities in the federal election. What the bots did is exploit already existing cleavages in society — and federally, there are great divides.”


On Friday, Global Affairs Canada released a report from the Rapid Response Mechanism. Created after the G7 meeting in Charleboix, Que., it is intended to help monitor and understand how the manipulation of social media can influence democratic politics.

Because the environment was expected to play a large role in last spring’s Alberta election, the agency decided to examine the province as a test case for the upcoming federal ballot.

It found significant, organized use of fake social media accounts.

“[We] identified communities that demonstrated a suspicious account creation pattern that is indicative of troll or bot activity,” the report said.


“It was mainly comprised of supporters of the United Conservative Party. The pattern was not identified within communities of supporters of the Alberta Liberal Party or Alberta New Democratic Party.”

Bots are social media programs that artificially generate social media posts that appear as if written by actual people. Trolls are social media users who intentionally initiate online conflict.

The number of UCP-supporting Twitter accounts nearly doubled in the weeks before the election, the agency found.

The report added that third-party lobby groups were also “spreading disinformation online” before the balloting.

“It’s a distortion of the political process,” said Chaldeans Mensah, political science professor at Edmonton’s MacEwan University.

“The basis for assessing political information becomes questionable. We’re relying on computer-generated, outrageous misstatements, outright lies and disinformation.”

Bratt said such posts aren’t trying to sway opinion.

“It may be used to suppress voting. It may be used to agitate those that are already in your camp.”

Duff Conacher of Democracy Watch said such posts should be illegal. Social media companies should be required to verify the identify of anyone making political posts during an election.

“A bot is a false scheme aimed at misleading voters,” he said. “So is anyone posing as 20 different people.”

Conacher criticized the federal Liberals for weakening laws that would have helped control bot activity. He said Canada is heading for the kind of polarized, online free-for-all that characterized the last U.S. presidential election.

Christine Myatt, spokeswoman for Premier Jason Kenney, downplayed the report’s significance. She pointed out his United Conservatives won with a large majority.

“The growing number of inauthentic troll accounts online is a disturbing trend but, as the report states, there is nothing to suggest that these accounts in any way influenced the results of the election,” she said in an emailed statement.

Bratt said he doubts UCP officials were directly involved in organizing the bots. But the response of party supporters to the report has been similar to how supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump or the U.K.’s planned Brexit reacted to criticism, he said.

“They’re attacking the media for reporting it. They’re attacking Global Affairs for looking at it. They criticize the legitimacy of the entire exercise.”

The UCP is initiating its own review of social media. As part of its inquiry into the influence and funding of environmental groups, the government will be referring to U.S. investigations into the activity of Russian social media bots.

Democratic debate deteriorates if it starts off fake, said Mensah.

“You want expressions of views on politics to be done in a way that is authentic, not something that is generated by computer.”

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An unprecedented spending frenzy could give a clue about where the election battles will be fought

Stuart Thomson: For August alone, the Liberal government’s tally stands at 4,545 spending announcements worth about $12.8 billion

Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at a Liberal Party fundraiser in Calgary, Alberta, Canada July 13, 2019

It wouldn’t be a crazy theory to suggest the Liberals are worried about the fate of their three precarious seats in Alberta as the Oct. 21 election approaches.


The province is home to widespread ire toward the government and a provincial conservative party that just swept to power with a crushing majority. And then there’s this: Edmonton MP Randy Boissonnault has been hurrying around the province this summer, doling out money like a drunken billionaire.

No less than 69 cheques have been handed out in the last month by Boissonnault. His colleague in Calgary, Liberal MP Kent Hehr, is in second place with 59 spending announcements to his name.

These sweepstakes, funded by tax dollars, have been documented assiduously by Global News chief political correspondent David Akin, who has been tracking and analyzing every government spending announcement, going back three parliaments. That’s more than 26,000 spreadsheet rows, for anyone counting.

On Wednesday, Akin noticed an announcement by Nova Scotia MP and cabinet minister Bernadette Jordan.


“Now she’s going to be in trouble in her riding. That’s South Shore — St. Margarets. That’s a riding that is likely to move from Liberal, possibly, to Conservative and she’s going to have to fight it out,” said Akin, in an interview with the Post. “And today of all days, she’s got $25 million to build a highway overpass on Highway 103. And she’s had a couple of those. And you kind of go, oh, that just magically happened to get approved and done a week before the campaign? I’m a little cynical.”

There’s no question that politicians of all stripes believe this kind of funding and the media coverage it attracts can win over voters for the governing party but, surprisingly, there’s very little research backing that up.

“We argue that the best estimate of the effects of campaign contact and advertising on Americans’ candidates choices in general election is zero,” the paper reads. “Our best guess for online and television advertising is also zero, but there is less evidence on these modes.”

If direct advertising doesn’t work, then sparsely-attended media appearances that don’t even mention the Liberal Party may be even less effective. It could be that Liberal MPs and cabinet ministers are frantically jet-setting around the country writing billions of dollars worth of cheques for almost no tangible electoral gain.

“Our findings also offer an important caveat to the widespread notion that political elites can easily manipulate citizens’ political choices,” the paper reads. It is “exceedingly rare in the elections that matter most” that people will be swayed by conventional campaign tactics.

Whether or not these spending announcements are working the way the Liberal Party hopes, the data holds some potentially tantalizing previews of where they are defending their turf and where they’d like to pick up some seats. A National Post analysis of Akin’s data shows a few non-Liberal ridings seeing a flurry of government spending activity.

Three ridings in Quebec and two ridings in British Columbia have attracted more than 31 spending announcements since July 1, including Skeena—Bulkley Valley, the riding that currently belongs to long-time NDP MP Nathan Cullen, who is not running in the 2019 election.

The other ridings are Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Manicouagan and Mégantic—L’Érable in Quebec and Kootenay—Columbia in British Columbia — all areas that strategists could conceivably have on a list of possible wins for the Liberals.

This kind of spending is unprecedented. The Harper government, in the month leading up to the 2015 election, announced spending of about $1.4 billion over the course of 605 announcements. For August alone, the Liberal government’s tally stands at 4,545 spending announcements worth about $12.8 billion.

In mid-August, the Conservatives sent out their own tally, pointing out that the Liberal government has even been bringing along non-sitting Liberal candidates to “bask in the spotlight” of the local media cameras. The Conservatives have also made an official complaint about that practice.

“Justin Trudeau has been flying around the country at the taxpayers’ expense, pairing his daily meet and greets with party fundraisers in the evening,” the Conservative press release reads.

Although the Opposition has been grousing about the spending, it’s a tricky issue for them. For one, Canadians might actually be happy to see government money being spent in their backyards, whether they perceive it as a cynical attempt to purchase votes or not.

“The Tories hate Trudeau’s spending but want to avoid being tagged the ‘austerity party’,” wrote former Harper government spokesman Andrew MacDougall in Maclean’s Magazine.

By deploying the enormous advantages of incumbency, the Liberals have indulged in cynical and time-tested politics. They have stacked the deck as much as possible,” MacDougall wrote.

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“ Being poor is apparently funny to Trudeau Liberal MPs. They have so much disdain for Canadians struggling to get by that they created a hashtag to mock them. ”


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BREAKING: Liberal government block RCMP’s SNC-Lavalin investigation 


The RCMP has had their attempts to look into potential obstruction of justice in the SNC-Lavalin affair blocked by the Trudeau government.

According to another explosive report from The Globe and Mail, Ottawa refused to lift cabinet confidentiality for all witnesses, seriously limiting the capacity for the RCMP to actually look into the matter.

According to the report, sources were allegedly told to not discuss matters regarding the scandal with police officials.

The reason behind the secrecy was cabinet confidentiality. Liberals say that a waiver for confidentiality was not provided by the Clerk of the Privy Council, meaning that people in the know-how did not have the privilege to speak to the RCMP or the Ethics Commissioner.

Earlier in the year, Ethics Commissioner Mario Dion faced similar stonewalling during his inquiries which accumulated in the Trudeau II report alleging that the prime minister had broken ethics laws.

Sources claim that the RCMP were allegedly investigating the possibility of obstruction of justice in the affair.

“If [the RCMP] were serious enough, they would probably get a search warrant, but that would probably be shot down by the courts. The privilege is pretty strong at the cabinet level,” said former commissioner of the RCMP, Bob Paulson.


Unprecedented. This story confirms what we have suspected all along: the Prime Ministers Office is attempting to interfere & obstruct justice in the SNC Lavalin criminal prosecution. Just like with the Ethics Commissioner, they are not cooperating with the RCMP investigation. 


Around the same time that the RCMP allegedly investigated the matter, the Conservative Party was requesting that the national police force look into the affair.


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The national police force will pause the operation because of the coming election campaign. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is scheduled to go to Rideau Hall Wednesday to ask the Governor-General to dissolve Parliament and call the vote for Oct. 21, and the RCMP has a policy to suspend politically sensitive operations during campaigns.

Justice Department spokesman Ian McLeod said the decision not to offer a broader waiver for the RCMP “was made solely by the Clerk of the Privy Council as guardian of cabinet confidences.” Mr. Trudeau’s director of communications, Cameron Ahmad, said the PMO was not involved in the decision.

Canada is back alright........back to the status of a banana republic being governed by a dictator....and yet people still think trudeau is worth voting for after lying about the circumstances, being chastised by the ethics commissioner twice and then refusing to accept responsibility. A head of state can do anything he pleases.... third world alright.

And we will never find out about what happened with VA Norman....from stating that charges would be laid before the RCMP was involved with denying documents requested by his defence and then dropping the charges and buying him off with a non disclosure agreement.

How would a regular citizen fair if he ever found himself in the way of Trudeau’s plans???  

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But of course !! The one thing he hasn’t screwed with yet!!


“ I’m envious.  Truly envious of those who bury their heads in the sand, and blindly trust whomeveris at the helm of whatever, doing this, that, or the other thing, to keep the world turning.

This week, I was supremely perturbed by the idea of a “sugar sweetened beverages levy” that the Ontario Liberal MP’s have discussed as a recommendation to the federal party ahead of the upcoming election.

But this levy, or tax as it’s commonly known, paled in comparison to the bombshell that dropped on Wednesday: doing away with the federal capital gains exemption on the sale of real estate.

Liberals, defend away.

As much as I don’t want to make this about politics, since many of the people reading this are Liberals, in current, past, or permanent form, and my goal is not to offend you.  We may have different choices in music, we may cheer for different sports teams, and if you like leather couches, and I prefer microfiber, I don’t want that to come between us.

But what I saw this week has upset me more than almost any other political manoeuvre, proposal, or legislation in as long as I can remember.

In case you missed it, Toronto Liberal MP, Adam Vaughan, spearheaded a new initiative that would see the profits on homes taxed at a rate of fifty percent if you were to sell this home after one year of ownership or less.

The idea alone is sickening.”


Edited by Jaydee
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