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Everything posted by better4me

  1. The Federal government's vaccine mandate applies to Airlines. When the Federal Transport Minister presser'd the October 30th first dose vaccine requirement, it set in motion numerous media requests, it was probably easier to release the internal document rather than answer each journo's questions.
  2. I would venture a guess that AEF demographics of white, male. above average income are aligned with Conservative voter ID.
  3. Announced on today's Alberta Healthcare conference call, Flight Attendants and Pilots are exempted from the 14 isolation in Alberta. There are other exemption on a case by case basis.
  4. I'm 43 years old and clearly remember the cut over to RES3; so it can't be that RES3 was implemented over 40 years ago. I do also remember that RES3 was sourced from British Airways Business Systems (BABS) that was several years old all ready. Also, don't knock old computer systems. The core of SAP's system that powers majority of fortune 100 (largest companies in the world) is closing in on 40 years old. The core programming code can't be replicated, many have tried. The super big systems instead have wrap around processes so the user experience isn't a green and black screen. My understanding is that SabreSonic still uses the original core of Sabre mainframe.
  5. The 737-300s for CPA were for Attache, the full airplane J class option for YYZ to YUL/YWG/YHZ/YVR. The route was an attempt to get 737 service onto YYZ-YVR. That's where the A320 really showed its capabilities. When AC introduced the A320; cabin configuration was 100Y/32J and could do YYZ-YVR all day everyday if needed. When PWA bought up CPA, one of the first things was to cancel the 737-300s and get as many A320s as possible (which was like 14 at the time). It was a great strategy, too bad Eyton decided to buyout Max instead of purchasing another 10 A320s.
  6. BCN on the Dreamliner from both YYC and YYZ. My Alternate prediction would be Westjet YYC-AMS 3x per week.
  7. I can't be the only avgeek that giggles every time there is mention of ZBAD airport. What were they thinking when that code was registered.
  8. Completely off topic, but shouldn't Super 80 be revealing a new handle seeing as AA is retiring the last mad dog today.
  9. The TransAt YYZ operation that must remain in T3 (because not everything can come into T1) will be separate for operational purposes. I can see TransAt Holidays remaining separate. YUL has a phenomenal opportunity to integrate everything into AC and AC Rouge as the airport would become a crown jewel fortress hub for TransAtlantic operations.
  10. This is not a pure Competition Tribunal public interest assessment, the report goes to the Transport Minister where a political decision will be made. Unless WS comes to the table with significant commitment to fly YUL or YYZ international and truly replace Transat flying flight for flight, route for route; the TC Minister is going to approve the takeover. WestJet won't take the A310 or A321 and they appear finished with purchasing more 763s. This leaves redeploying the additional 7 Dreamliners they have on order. If WestJet enterred into an agreement to increase competition, they would have to deploy the Dreamliner onto such great routes as YYZ to CDG/AMS/FCO/AGP on a year round basis. Additionally they would have to put the Dreamliner onto YUL runs. This would significantly and negatively impact the strategic plan as it would push back Asia operations a good 2-3 years. I expect that AC will have to give up some slots and gates in YYZ, but probably not much else. Maybe YUL to sun destinations for Sunwing to takeover with additional frequencies. IMHO the public interest assessment is driven by a desire to paper the takeover as much as possible for the Americans and Europeans. This keeps Canada in control. Minimal repercussions to AC because anything less will put QC jobs at risk.
  11. I would hope that AC Dreams Take Flight would congratulate Boeing ECF on a great livery and all the good work they do. End the congratulations with a standard request for donation and offer to cross promote each employee charitable initiatives.
  12. At its most basic element, an assault is any unwanted physical contact. You touch someone with a feather and it counts as an assault. That said the local police have enough power to distinguish between a slight shove and knocking someones lights out. If the FA presses charges, the aircraft becomes an investigation scene and the flight will get cancelled. Better to just offload the offending pax, close the door, get their bags, pushback, and deal with the ban after the fact.
  13. In the new super speed up of information and news, Companies have to report within 24-36 hours of board approval. The BoD probably rescheduled their meeting for Thursday 25th and that forced a Friday 26th early morning reporting. The Onex deal will have an effect on the transaction as well. There is a blackout restrictions for insiders releasing information to the outside world before quarterly release to the stock market and general public. For example, Onex putting $2.4B request for funding the WestJet deal is predicated on WJA.T having released their Q2.
  14. I expect the 310s and 737NGs to get removed from the fleet. That will pull down the overlap in YUL to a great extent. The big question is how does the TS purchase and consolidation with Rouge go for gate space in YYZ. I could see Calin making a deal that includes TS giving up gates in T3 to WS to expand their international widebody operations. In exchange TS/RG go to the infield terminal with a better bus connection to T1. This would likely solve the competition issues in YYZ. Another question is will Garneau use his new powers from the Transport Canada Modernization Act to overrule the Competition Bureau?
  15. The last period of unprofitability was 2005 to 2006. Hidden in the past were a few other factors: (1) There was a problem with the interface between the back office Revenue Management System and the OpenSkies Passenger Sales and Service system that had a knock on effect of Openskies not updating the external GDS systems with price adjustments. (2) There was a second problem within the Openskies system being unable to handle sales with a few combinations of YYT-HNL/OGG because this was the first time WS had itineraries going over 24hrs in travel. (3) The first two problems combined into a drop of 10's of millions in revenue as seat sales were not properly posted to the GDS system nor to ws.com. The IT department borrowed Clive's Amex to get better/faster servers installed in 24hrs notice. It was the treasury department that alerted Management to the GDS problem because the bank was getting drained fast. (4) WS also had to pay $15 million to charity to settle out of court the case involving hacking into the AC employee booking site. (5) Jetsgo shut down unexpectedly and WS took it upon themselves to offer deeply discounted airfares to the affected pax.
  16. The consensus doesn't apply to the AA order. Yes Boeing did stop selling the 788, but mostly because they offered discounts on the 789 and not 788. A good salesman always uses the line "For a little more money, look at all the extra features by going with the upgraded model. In AA case, the decision was either stay with the 330neo or go over to the 788. They didn't have a mission for another 50 789s. Put it another way, if Boeing said "sorry we're not making anymore 788s", then AA would have said "sorry" to Boeing. The bigger Q, does this mean Boeing will open the 788 to other airlines? If Boeing does open up the 788 to discounting, I could see both AC and WS making follow on orders for the 788.
  17. The $8 million PFO cheque includes a do not compete agreement. I believe the territory is North America. So nothing stopping Saretsky from going to Australia, Asia, or South America. But if I was Saretsky. I would open up a consulting business in Cancun. Broad band internet to the home and good camera I would take paid spots on News programs. To provide colour commentary to the media. I would also go to YOW any chance I got to speak before senate of HoC issues, especially the pax Bill of Rights.
  18. According to the Westjet 2017 Management Information Circular, page 52 Exectuve compensation for Mr Saretsky under a termination without cause scenario, he gets an $8million golden parachute. Highly unlikely the Board would terminate for cause as this would most certainly result in a n ugly lawsuit. Further, termination with cause could make null and void the non compete clauses in his final release.
  19. Thanks for the ride report. WestJet's doing much better in their sophomore year on the LGW run. The 763 scheduled flying reduction coupled with enhanced maintenance in the shoulder season has paid dividends. But the unsung turnaround has been in how the FA's are operating on the flight. Last year I was hearing lots of stories about the FA's being unable to adjust the service style to 7-10 hour flights, and the FA's were just as shocked about the difference in passenger expectations for service. WestJet's next major challenge will be to figure out the true frequent flyer persona. Yeah I'm talking about the DYKWIA types that frequent Flyertalk, lounges, and have an Amex Platinum and Priority Pass cards in their wallet instead of a Capital One Visa. The tremendous increase in corporate/business flying will bring about a new type of customer that WS front line staff will have to adjust their soft skills. Case in point, last year's family trip to San Diego. I'm watching the gate agents do numerous last minute seat swaps. The airplane on gate was a 73G as advertised. Now 4-6 people I could see displaced if the aircraft had a slightly newer slim line seat, bit not enough of a change to account for 10-15 pax. I got my answer once onboard, the seat swaps were to accommodate lap infants to allow the family to have an empty middle seat. There were a few other seat changes to re-unite adult families into the same row. As I said above, the gate agents response to pax queries was " last minute aircraft change". Onboard the FAs response was "this is a short 2 hour flight to San Diego". Both responses are minor issues for the once per year flyer. But the once per week flyer will be severely impacted if the same thing happens over and over. The DYKWIA flyer is also an expert at your airline's schedule, aircraft, customer service standards, etc. Overall WS is adjusting to the new traveler mix, there will be more turbulence ahead, but hopefully only minor chop or a quick altitude change will solve the problem.
  20. The rouge 763s have 4-5 rows of rouge plus. Regular economy seat with extra legroom. Wh are these seats not good enough for a 6'4" person?
  21. The Fares on YYC-DEN are high because there is a lot of business traffic booking either last minute high value nonrefundable fares or high value refundable fares 21-28 days before departure. There is a good reason for avoiding the lowest possible nonrefundable fare. Way back in 2012-2014 time frame I worked for a large global Oilfield Services firm that was YYC based with operations in both DEN and IAH. At the beginning of 2014 we all saw the oil glut and predicted the drop in Oil price. The belt tightening followed in March. New marching orders were to book all air travel 21 days in advance and book cheapest ticket. The company was willing underwrite the risk that the business meeting could change and this would cost increased change fee. First class travel was banned. This was even true for Y-up or discounted fares with instant upgradeablity to First Class. I made a request to travel discounted business P fare that was cheaper than economy fare, no go. All of us towed the company line and booked out 1-2 months worth of travel. Then one day in late August the axe fell on 20 of us frequent travelers. I got out with a $1,600 USD travel credit with UA. The business development and senior code developers got out with a lot more, 3-5k in travel credits that could not be returned onto the company credit card or transferred to another employee. Two weeks after being let go I had coffee with the VP Finance. He let me know of the travel credit situation. I reminded him about the meeting back in March when I proposed buying cheap refundable instant upgrade tickets when it made financial sense. We discussed that there was no option but to have travel booked really close in, like within 3-12 days before departure, otherwise employees who know they could be cut will use the marching orders from HR to book out all their budgeted travel as much as possible. From the YYC end, the major head office players that have operations in DEN are Suncor (huge gas plant west of the airport), Encana (multi-billion purchase of Tom Brown Inc. gave them a big presence in downtown DEN where Encana consolidated their US office), and TransCanada Pipelines. Plus there is a large number of mid size oilfield services firms with an office in Denver. I believe its Suncor that is pushing for WS to enter YYC-DEN. WS all ready has all the FBO charter flying for Suncor and WS is primary air travel vendor for all other trips. YYC-IAH was started at WS when 3 major players went to WS and agreed to support the route. I suspect the same is true for YYC-DEN.
  22. Considering the flight leaves Calgary at 10:10, near the start of their major transborder operations, I gather that WS is hoping for connecting traffic from YLW, YKA, YEG, YQU, YMM, YXE, YQR, YWG. The YEGgers who have lost ORD, SFO, and seen downguages on DEN and IAH will be thrilled to learn that WS has joined the legacy airlines in pushing traffic through YYC. One thing is for certain, this flight does not help to YYC based flyers, a good 8am departure is perfect for getting atleast a 1/2 days work done in DEN. but the 10am departure is too late most of the productive day is gone by the time one reaches the worksite. The return s even worse. A mid afternoon departure from DEN means the YCC based business traveler will have to overnight on at least the return end of the journey. For two companies I have done weekly trips YYC-DEN early Monday morning and DEN-YYC late Friday evening. I would lose a 1/2 day to travel on the Monday and be on the 6:30am or 8am departure, but could gain a full day on Friday with leaving the office at 4pm to catch the 7pm departure. This WS schedule ruins the trip on both ends.
  23. Thinking specifically about YYZ T3, will TS transitioning to the 321neoLR allow for WS to move onto more wide-body gates for their new Dreamliners?
  24. If I read the schedule correctly, this 4x per week service is a 2 airplane commitment. The Monday departure does not return to YYZ until Wednesday morning. The YYZ Tuesday departure appears to be the only 1 airplane commitment.
  25. The biggest CTA decision on disabilities and accommodation for the semi-ambulatory has been "One Person, One Fare" ("OPOF"). In making its decision, the CTA weighed the opportunity costs of requiring airlines provide a seat for the travelers attendant. It was estimated that OPOF would require 80,000 free seats out of 10,000,000 pax. Note this includes OPOF instances where the person's disability is extreme obesity. The cost to the airline is not considered to be significant. The big obstacles preventing widespread miss-use of OPOF and similar programs are: (1) pax must be under physician care for the underlying problem, (2) doctor must sign off regarding the severity of the disability, (3) pax condition is reviewed by the medical desk, (4) Pax is still extremely uncomfortable and cumbersome to get the semi-ambulatory into, move around, and out of the aircraft (5) other travel obstacles make frequent travel by the semi ambulatory near impossible. One area that all airlines could improve on is communication, especially communicating the qualifications that entitle pax to utilize the accommodation. The present website resources would suggest that far more people could use accommodation than what the law actually requires. Plain language should give way to medical terminology. The passenger that qualifies for accommodation will know their condition inside and out, so a decent method to weed out the pretenders and layman is through using the proper terminology.
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