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deicer

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Posts posted by deicer

  1. A good summary between now and 100 years ago.

    https://www.govexec.com/management/2021/02/1918-pandemic-provides-warning-about-covid-19s-future/172078/

    1918 Pandemic Provides Warning about COVID-19’s Future

    Even if we start to see a decrease in COVID cases, a study of the 1918 influenza pandemic suggests a spike could occur in late 2021 or early 2022.

    FEBRUARY 17, 2021

    The 1918 influenza pandemic provides a cautionary tale for what the future may hold for COVID-19, says Siddharth Chandra.

    After a decade studying a flu virus that killed approximately 15,000 Michigan residents, Chandra, a professor in the James Madison College at Michigan State University, saw his research come to life as he watched the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    “It was so surreal,” says Chandra, who has a courtesy appointment in epidemiology and biostatistics. “All of a sudden, I was living my research.”

    Using influenza infection and mortality data on Michigan from 1918-1920, Chandra identified four distinct waves. The first large peak was in March 1918. “After a second spike in cases in October 1918, the governor instituted a statewide ban on public gatherings,” Chandra says. “Much like the restrictions that were put in place during the COVID-19 pandemic.”

    After three weeks, the number of cases decreased and the ban was lifted, which led to another peak in December 1918. “The ban didn’t stop the spread of the flu. It just delayed the spike in cases,” he says.

    A chart shows the timeline of the four distinct 1918-1920 pandemic waves This graph shows the four distinct waves. Wave #1 March 1918 (Spring 1918 Wave), #2 October 1918 (Fall 1918 Wave), #3 December 1918 (Winter 1918 Wave), and #4 February 2020 (Winter 1920 Wave). (Credit: MSU)

    Chandra mapped the data showing the peaks and spikes in cases from October 1918 and December 1918 and tracked flu virus case growth by county over time. In October, counties in the southern part of the state and near the Mackinac Straits had the highest numbers but by December, the highest numbers of cases were in the heart of the state.

    The most surprising piece of data came 18 months later in February 1920, when a statewide explosion of cases created a massive spike even larger than the one in October 1918. For Chandra, it is an educated guess as to the reasons for this delayed increase.

     
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    “Assuming it’s the same influenza virus, World War I ended in 1918 and the men were coming home to their families,” he says. “We had a mobile agent that brought the virus home to infect family members, which would explain the increase in cases among children and the elderly.”

    Unfortunately, there is not a way to confirm this, Chandra says. “We would need samples from patients in 1920 from across the state. Then, we would need to compare those with samples from patients in 1918 from across the state, and that’s not likely to happen.”

    The weather may have also been a factor since cool temperatures with low humidity likely provided optimal conditions for the virus to live and spread. Another factor that played a role was the absence of a vaccine.

    “In 1918, there was no hope for a vaccine. In 2021, we have a vaccine available,” he says.

    One of the key insights from the 1918 pandemic that can inform the public health response to the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic is the number of people susceptible to the virus, Chandra says. Which means that it is possible that a spike like the February 1920 one will occur in late 2021 or early 2022.

    “So many people will remain susceptible until they get vaccinated,” Chandra says. “Bad things can still happen a year or two from now even if we see a decrease in the number of cases now. We still have over 200 million people walking around who are susceptible to the virus, including myself.”

    The study appears in the American Journal of Public Health. Additional coauthors are from James Madison College and Michigan State University.

    Source: Michigan State University

    Original Study DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2020.305969

  2. If you need more proof inflation is manufactured...

    https://bringmethenews.com/minnesota-business/fresh-off-3-1b-profits-report-says-general-mills-set-to-increase-grocery-prices

    General Mills is warning wholesale buyers about an impending price increase that will almost certainly be passed on to shoppers. 

    That's according to a recent CNN Business report, which saw copies of letters the Minnesota-based company sent to retailers. The letter explained that come mid-January 2022, prices on many of its products would go up by as much as 20%. That includes products across many of its well-known brands, including Betty Crocker, Annie's, Progresso, Pillsbury, Yoplait and more.

    How is General Mills doing?

    In its 2021 fiscal year (which runs June-May), the company reported net sales of $18.1 billion, a 3% increase from the year prior, as well as an operating profit of $3.1 billion (up 6% from the previous year).

    CEO Jeffrey Harmening, meanwhile, had a base salary of $1.25 million, with another $5.25 million in stock awards, with total compensation for the year at $15.57 million. The 2021 compensation for Group President Jonathan Nudi totaled just under $5.65 million, while CFO Kofi Bruce received just under $3.45 million.

    general mills.jpg

  3.  

    The incident clearly shows the police officer committing murder.

    A man in a wheelchair, with knife or not, isn't that great a threat to anyone who can run away. 

    So you know gun advocates will spin it to the officer having to 'stop' an armed individual.  Well, he could have thrown a 2x4 in front of the wheelchair as a chock instead of shooting him, couldn't he?

    Just like they wouldn't show the video of Rittenhouse pointing his rifle at protestors before his 'incident'?  Is that why they fought to have a mistrial because of the aggressive nature of the defendant?

    One needs to just look at the evidence, and make up your own mind, ignore the yammering.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/17/rittenhouse-lawyers-ask-judge-to-declare-mistrial-over-video.html

    At issue was a piece of drone video that prosecutors showed to the jury in closing arguments in a bid to undermine Rittenhouse’s self-defense claim and portray him as the instigator of the bloodshed in Kenosha in the summer of 2020. Prosecutors said the footage showed him pointing his rifle at protesters before the shooting erupted.

    https://www.wisn.com/article/kyle-rittenhouse-trial-drone-video-quality-not-likely-grounds-for-mistrial-expert-says/38292535#

     

  4. They're doing something right...

    https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/canada-s-economy-cranks-out-154k-jobs-quadruple-expectations-1.1690642

    Canada’s economy cranks out 154k jobs, quadruple expectations

    Canada’s labor market blew past expectations in November as the end of income support programs helped fuel new hiring.

    Employment rose 153,700 last month, Statistics Canada reported Friday in Ottawa. That’s more than quadruple the 37,500 gain economists were predicting, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. 

    The numbers show how close the nation’s economy is to full employment at a time when businesses are raising worries about labor shortages and policy makers are considering ways to cool the recovery down. 

    Embedded Image

    The unemployment rate fell to 6 per cent -- very near pre-pandemic levels -- from 6.7 per cent in October. Employment is now 186,000 jobs beyond where it was in February 2020. Hours worked rose 0.7 per cent, fully recouping COVID losses for the first time.

    November’s gains reflect large numbers of people exiting unemployment ranks after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government terminated its key support program for individuals in October. Unemployment levels fell by 122,000 last month, versus 56,200 in October. Much of that decline were people who were out of a job for 52 weeks or more.

    “We warned the risks were toward a much stronger report as pandemic support programs ended in late October -- and that’s exactly what we got,” Benjamin Reitzes, Canadian rates and macro strategist at Bank of Montreal, said by email.

    Embedded Image

    November’s report marks the sixth straight month of job gains, and will cement expectations that interest rates are poised to increase. Markets are pricing in five Bank of Canada interest rate hikes next year. 

    The gains were nearly evenly split between part-time and full time, with growth led by the private sector. The services sector accounted for a majority of new positions, led by health care, retail trade and professional services. Manufacturing was responsible for all the job gains in the goods-producing sector. 

    “Labor markets are tightening sharply, and that positions the Bank of Canada to hike earlier than we had expected,” Royce Mendes, an economist at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, said by email.

  5. 14 hours ago, Seeker said:

    I disagree.  Margins don't count if the company is paying the fair tax on their profits.  If Apple is making a 300% margin and paying taxes on the profit - it all works out.  If Apple is making a 300% margin and booking it off-shore and avoiding the taxes - that's the problem.

    Yes that is also fair.

    However, Apple, oil companies, etc, charging more for something that is already manufactured and in the system is what is causing our spike in inflation.

    So while the proper tax being paid is going to help governments, it does nothing for the consumer and only leads to increased reliance on government handouts because the people can't keep up.

  6. While I wholeheartedly agree with your sentiments about taxes, that wasn't the point of the pic I posted.

    It's about margins.

    Companies are entitled to make profits, and if you look at most of the one's now making obscene profits, they were profitable before, during and now in the pandemic.

    So if they were making comfortable profits before, why the increase in margins?  

    That is why we are having high inflation.  Not shortages or labour problems.  

  7. 'Murica!

    The parents knew...

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/boy-17-becomes-fourth-victim-michigan-high-school-shooting-rcna7267

    Bouchard said that the suspect's parents have asked for a lawyer and that, under Michigan law, authorities cannot speak with a juvenile without parental permission.

    "They have refused that permission," he said. "So we can’t get the motive from the suspect that we have in custody, but we think we’ve got a path to get a lot of supportive information as to how and why this occurred."

    Because they have not yet been able to question the suspect, investigators are still unclear about what motive he may have had, Bouchard added.

    "There is nothing that he could have faced that would warrant senseless, absolutely brutal violence on other kids," he said.

    Crumbley's parents had been asked to speak with the school Monday and Tuesday, before the shooting, to discuss "concerning" classroom behavior, Bouchard said.

    Student becomes fourth person to die in Michigan school shooting as suspect is identified, charged with murde

  8. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/dec/01/trump-tested-positive-covid-before-biden-debate-chief-staff-mark-meadows-book

    Trump tested positive for Covid few days before Biden debate, chief of staff says in new book

    Donald Trump tested positive for Covid-19 three days before his first debate against Joe Biden, the former president’s fourth and last chief of staff has revealed in a new book.

     

    Mark Meadows also writes that though he knew each candidate was required “to test negative for the virus within seventy two hours of the start time … Nothing was going to stop [Trump] from going out there.”

    Trump, Meadows says in the book, returned a negative result from a different test shortly after the positive.

    Nonetheless, the stunning revelation of an unreported positive test follows a year of speculation about whether Trump, then 74 years old, had the potentially deadly virus when he faced Biden, 77, in Cleveland on 29 September – and what danger that might have presented.

    Trump announced he had Covid on 2 October. The White House said he announced that result within an hour of receiving it. He went to hospital later that day.

    Meadows says Trump’s positive result on 26 September was a shock to a White House which had just staged a triumphant Rose Garden ceremony for the supreme court nominee Amy Coney Barrett – an occasion now widely considered to have been a Covid super-spreader event.

    Despite the president looking “a little tired” and suspecting a “slight cold”, Meadows says he was “content” that Trump travelled that evening to a rally in Middletown, Pennsylvania.

    But as Marine One lifted off, Meadows writes, the White House doctor called.

    “Stop the president from leaving,” Meadows says Sean Conley told him. “He just tested positive for Covid.”

    It wasn’t possible to stop Trump but when he called from Air Force One, his chief of staff gave him the news.

    “Mr President,” Meadows said, “I’ve got some bad news. You’ve tested positive for Covid-19.”

    Trump’s reply, the devout Christian writes, “rhyme[d] with ‘Oh spit, you’ve gotta be trucking lidding me’”.

    Meadows writes of his surprise that such a “massive germaphobe” could have contracted Covid, given precautions including “buckets of hand sanitiser” and “hardly [seeing] anyone who ha[d]n’t been rigorously tested”.

    Meadows says the positive test had been done with an old model kit. He told Trump the test would be repeated with “the Binax system, and that we were hoping the first test was a false positive”.

    After “a brief but tense wait”, Meadows called back with news of the negative test. He could “almost hear the collective ‘Thank God’ that echoed through the cabin”, he writes.

    Meadows says Trump took that call as “full permission to press on as if nothing had happened”. His chief of staff, however, “instructed everyone in his immediate circle to treat him as if he was positive” throughout the Pennsylvania trip.

    “I didn’t want to take any unnecessary risks,” Meadows writes, “but I also didn’t want to alarm the public if there was nothing to worry about – which according to the new, much more accurate test, there was not.”

    Meadows writes that audience members at the rally “would never have known that anything was amiss”.

    The public, however, was not told of the president’s tests.

    On Sunday 27 September, the first day between the tests and the debate, Meadows says Trump did little – except playing golf in Virginia and staging an event for military families at which he “spoke about the value of sacrifice”.

    Trump later said he might have been infected at that event, thanks to people “within an inch of my face sometimes, they want to hug me and they want to kiss me. And they do. And frankly, I’m not telling them to back up.”

    In his book, Meadows does not mention that Trump also held a press conference indoors, in the White House briefing room, the same day.

    On Monday 28 September, Trump staged an event at which he talked with business leaders and looked inside “the cab of a new truck”. He also held a Rose Garden press conference “on the work we had all been doing to combat Covid-19”.

    “Somewhat ironically, considering his circumstances”, Meadows writes, Trump spoke about a new testing strategy “supposed to give quicker, more accurate readings about whether someone was positive or not.”

    The White House had still not told the public Trump tested positive and then negative two days before.

    On debate day, 29 September, Meadows says, Trump looked slightly better – “emphasis on the word slightly”.

    “His face, for the most part at least, had regained its usual light bronze hue, and the gravel in his voice was gone. But the dark circles under his eyes had deepened. As we walked into the venue around five o’clock in the evening, I could tell that he was moving more slowly than usual. He walked like he was carrying a little extra weight on his back.”

    Trump gave a furious and controversial performance, continually hectoring Biden to the point the Democrat pleaded: “Will you shut up, man? This is so unpresidential.”

    The host, Chris Wallace of Fox News, later said Trump was not tested before the debate because he arrived late. Organisers, Wallace said, relied on the honor system.

    The White House had not said Trump had tested positive and negative three days before.

    Three days later, on 2 October, Trump announced by tweet that he and his wife, Melania Trump, were positive.

    That evening, Meadows helped Trump make his way to hospital. During his stay, Meadows helped orchestrate stunts meant to show the president was in good health. Trump recovered, but it has been reported that his case of Covid was much more serious than the White House ever let on.

     

  9. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10259509/Donald-Trump-flew-Jeffrey-Epsteins-private-planes-Lolita-Express-pilot-reveals.html

    'I certainly remember Trump': Lolita Express pilot says he remembers Donald flying with Epstein on his private jet during testimony at Ghislaine Maxwell's sex trafficking trial

    • Larry Visoski, Jeffrey Epstein's chief pilot for more than 25 years, said Trump was among passengers 
    • He was testifying at the sex trafficking trial of Ghislaine Maxwell in New York City on Tuesday 
    • He also described having Prince Andrew, Kevin Spacey and Bill Clinton onboard the private jet
    • Trump and Epstein were friendly in the early 2000s and late 1990s when they were both playboys 
    • Unsealed flight logs previously revealed Trump flew on the jet from Palm Beach to Newark in 1997 
    • Trump is said to have distanced himself from him after he hit on a young girl at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach 
    • Trump was among those who fueled conspiracy theories when Epstein died in prison in 2019 
    • He said: 'Was it suicide, was he killed?' and went on to say he wished Ghislaine Maxwell 'well' at her trial 
  10. 1 hour ago, st27 said:

    Big news locally but try find any coverage of it after the protest…..it’s only the busiest highway in Canada:

     

    https://globalnews.ca/news/8398062/opp-demonstrations-hwy-401-cornwall-to-napanee/

     

    Pretty sure it wouldnt be tolerated if it was anybody else.

    It was peaceful. 

    From the article:

    OPP say their main objective in dealing with the Ontario blockades Wednesday is to keep traffic moving in a safe way while also allowing protesters a “safe and peaceful opportunity to exercise their lawful rights, while minimizing the impact on the travelling public.”

     
  11. Yes, and then this happened...

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-unemployment-race-idUSKBN2431X7

    Gap in U.S. Black and white unemployment rates is widest in five years

    The coronavirus pandemic brought an abrupt end to the record-long U.S. economic expansion just as it was creating better job opportunities for Black workers and other minorities. Job losses fell hardest on women and workers of color.

     

    As the labor market slowly recovers, Black workers are seemingly among the last to benefit, repeating the pattern typically seen following a recession, said Wilson.

  12. There was mention earlier of the lower case numbers in Africa.  

    It appears that while that may be the case, the low vaccination numbers have allowed for mutations and now another variant of concern has raised it's ugly head.  

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-59427770

    Coronavirus: Countries shut borders over new South Africa variant

    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-59426277

    New Covid variant of huge international concern

     

     

    Summary

    1. Health Secretary Sajid Javid tells MPs there is "huge international concern" over a new highly mutated variant - but there are no cases in the UK currently
    2. The UK has imposed travel restrictions on six African countries over the variant that vaccines may be less effective against
    3. A top health official calls it "the most significant variant" to date, while an Oxford scientist tells the BBC: "It is bad news but it's not doomsday"
    4. Countries including Germany, Italy, Israel and Singapore have also restricted travel
    5. The agency leading Africa's response to Covid says travel bans are unlikely to reduce the spread of the new variant
    6. The World Health Organization cautions against travel bans but is holding a special meeting to discuss the variant
  13. As I posted above, your original 'post' was misinforming.

    I posted the link to the full article, which you have now provided.

    So does the 'pertinent' information about ADE that is in the article that you provided do anything to answer your own questions about the safety of the vaccines?

    You answered your own question, so will that lead to a buy in?

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