I agree with some of the points you make, but I doubt whether AC's LCC plans are being advanced only to lower the expectations of the 24 or so people who pay a bit extra to sit up front on the 3 wierdly-configured 767s that AC currently operates. The 2 319s you mention are already sold as Y only, but are sometimes deployed on flights to MEX which is to my understanding a route with decent yields--certainly higher yields than we get to any other point in Mexico.
There has been talk of a fleet of 40+ aircraft for AC's LCC. Some of that could, as you suggest, be nothing more than a negotiating tactic, but I think that AC has far bigger plans for its LCC than 3 767s and 2 A-319s. I would expect a much higher density seating arrangement than what we now have on those aircraft, and I'd be surprised if a 10% savings on pilot salaries alone would achieve anywhere near the degree of cost savings that AC has in mind. In TA1 for the FA group the top rate of pay for a LCC FA would have been almost 30% lower than the current FA max. Had TA1 passed, work rules for the LCC would have been negotiated later, but I'm sure that we'd have seen significant cost reductions there too. The CAW agreement, as far as I know, contains no LCC language, but with more and more CAW functions being automated, perhaps AC was content to let that one slide. A hefty charge for checking baggage on the LCC might serve to make some of the IAM-performed work on the ramp unnecessary also.
The other thing that gives me the impression that AC is serious about the LCC is that our senior management seems not to have much else. I read, but haven't yet replied to Dagger's post about AC now paying down debt as a priority, but aside from waiting for the Dreamliner to change the economics of certain markets, they have no strategy and no plans that I'm aware of to return AC to profitability other than to launch their LCC. If not for the LCC plans they'd remind me of AA's management that was content to wait for everybody else's labour costs to rise in order that they'd again be competitive and would avoid CH11, or the managment at UA whose only plan was to wait for somebody to buy them.
In my position, I'm content to let AC have at it with the LCC and to let things stagnate at the mainline carrier just as QF is doing with Jetstar if that will restore profitability. There likely isn't anything our union could do to stop it anyway. The marketplace has changed, and that's about all there is to it. For those with fewer years on the job, and for the pilot group whose salaries depend entirely on what equipment they operate, it will be a much tougher sell, and I fully understand their concern.
Edited by FA@AC, 21 February 2012 - 09:31 PM.